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2007 OSCAR PREDICTIONS PREDICTION RATE Overall Rate: 18 / 24 (75%) Top 8 Categories: 8 / 8 (100%) SEE HOW WELL (or UNWELL) I PREDICTED THE NOMINEES 2004 OSCAR PAGE        2005 OSCAR PAGE        2006 OSCAR PAGE OSCAR SHOWDOWN OTHER AWARDS PREDIX SITES: EVERYTHING OSCAR / OSCAR IGLOO / OSCAR JAM / THE FILM EXPERIENCE / IN CONTENTION

BEST PICTURE
No Country For Old Men	Juno	Michael Clayton	There Will Be Blood	Atonement
3/5 [60%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Missed both Juno and Atonement
who should win: There Will Be Blood (although anything but Juno is a worthy choice here. who will win: No Country For Old Men is taking this one! Juno sneak attack be damned!!
and the Oscar goes to... No Country For Old Men.

BEST DIRECTOR
The Coen Brothers for No Country for Old Men	Jason Reitman for Juno	Tony Gilroy for Michael Clayton	Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood	Julian Schnabel for The Diving Bell & the Butterfly
4/5 [80%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE No Sean Penn!!??
who should win: Paul Thomas Anderson may be the next Orson Welles. who will win: The Coen Brothers should take this, although a sneak attack from Julian Schnabel would not be that far out of left field.
and the Oscar goes to... The Coen Brothers.

BEST ACTRESS
Julie Christie in Away From Her	Marion Cotillard in La Vie En Rose	Ellen Page in Juno	Laura Linney in The Savages	Cate Blanchett in Elizabeth: The Golden Age
4/5 [80%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Missed Linney / picked Jolie instead / glad to be wrong
who should win: Marion Cotillard was a chameleonic tour de force as Edith Piaf. who will win: Everyone keeps saying Julie Christie is a shoo-in to win, but there has to be a real surprise somewhere so I am choosing Marion Cotillard to be the surprise tonight.
and the Oscar goes to... Marion Cotillard. Woo Hoo.

BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis in There Will Be Blood	George Clooney in Michael Clayton	Viggo Mortensen in Eastern Promises	Johnny Depp in Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street	Tommy Lee Jones in The Valley of Elah
5/5 [100%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE My 11th hour switch back to Tommy Lee (who I was originally predicting in the first place) worked out pretty darn swell.
who should win: Daniel Day-Lewis will drink your Milkshake!! who will win: Daniel Day-Lewis will drink Oscar's Milkshake!!!
and the Oscar goes to... Daniel Day-Lewis drank Oscar's Milkshake!!!!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett in I'm Not There	Amy Ryan in Gone Baby Gone	Tilda Swinton in Michael Clayton	Ruby Dee in American Gangster	Saoirse Ronan in Atonement
4/5 [80%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Picked Keener over Dee, but nice to see Ruby finally getting her due.
who should win: There are three great performances here, but my heart goes to the great Cate Blanchett. who will win: This is the category giving everyone the toughest time. While Cate, Ruby and Amy battle it out, I believe Tilda Swinton is going to walk away a winner. I wouldn't mind if Cate won though, or even Amy Ryan.
and the Oscar goes to... Tilda Swinton.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem in No Country for Old Men	Casey Affleck in The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford	Tom Wilkinson in Michael Clayton	Hal Holbrook in Into the Wild	Philip Seymour Hoffman in Charlie Wilson's War
5/5 [100%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE
who should win: Javier Bardem. who will win: Javier Bardem.
and the Oscar goes to... Javier Bardem. 'nuff said.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Michael Clayton	Juno	Ratatouille	The Savages	Lars and the Real Girl
5/5 [100%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE
who should win: Michael Clayton. who will win: Juno.
and the Oscar goes to... Juno

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
No Country for Old Men	There Will Be Blood	The Diving Bell & The Butterfly	Away From Her	Atonement
4/5 [80%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Picked Into the Wild (the big loser) over Away From Her.
who should win: There Will Be Blood or No Country for Old Men. who will win: Although The Diving Bell & The Butterfly could surprise, I am going with No Country for Old Men, giving it a grand total of four Oscars by ceremony's end.
and the Oscar goes to... No Country for Old Men.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
No Country for Old Men	The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford	There Will Be Blood	Atonement	The Diving Bell & The Butterfly
5/5 [100%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE
who should win: There Will Be Blood!!! who will win: Many have been talking about Roger Deakins and hsi dual nomination (No Country and Assassination) but I think There Will Be Blood will take this. On the other hand, I believe the Academy is going to want to award something to The Diving Bell & The Butterfly so it could win here if it doesn't take Adapted Screenplay.
and the Oscar goes to... There Will Be Blood.

BEST ART DIRECTION
Atonement	There Will Be Blood	American Gangster	Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street	The Golden Compass
3/5 [60%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE picked Pirates and Elizabeth over Compass and Gangster.
who should win: There Will Be Blood!! who will win: Though Sweeney Todd seems flashier (and that is usually what people associate Art Direction with) I am still picking There Will Be Blood to win. Who knows though, American Gangster could actually take this in the end.
and the Oscar goes to... Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street.

BEST EDITING
No Country for Old Men	The Diving Bell & the Butterfly	Into the Wild	The Bourne Ultimatum	There Will Be Blood
4/5 [80%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Picked Michael Clayton over Diving Bell.
who should win: Although my favourite film of last year was There Will Be Blood, I would still award this Oscar to No Country For Old Men. who will win: A battle is brewing between No Country and Bourne, and in the end I say, since the Academy seems to enjoy spreading the wealth around these days, The Bourne Ultimatum comes up with the trophy.
and the Oscar goes to... The Bourne Ultimatum.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement	Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street	Across the Universe	La Vie En Rose	Elizabeth: The Golden Age
3/5 [60%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Glad to see Hairspray NOT get nominated and really glad to see La Vie En Rose on the list.
who should win: La Vie en Rose. who will win: This is another tough nut to crack. It could easily go any of three, maybe even four ways, but I am leaning toward (pick a name out of a hat dammit!!) Atonement.
and the Oscar goes to... Elizabeth: The Golden Age.

BEST MAKE-UP
La Vie en Rose	Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End	Norbit
2/3 [67%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE
who should win: La Vie en Rose. who will win: La Vie en Rose, but wouldn't it be funny to see Norbit win? No I guess not.
and the Oscar goes to... La Vie en Rose.

BEST SOUND MIXING
Transformers	The Bourne Ultimatum	3:10 to Yuma	No Country For Old Men	Ratatouille
2/5 [40%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Sure glad to see 300 get shut out!
who should win: No Country For Old Men. who will win: Although the sound mixing team for Transformers are basically the Susan Lucci of the Oscars, and in being so may finally get a long awaited Oscar, I believe The Bourne Ultimatum will end up making them wait a bit longer.
and the Oscar goes to... The Bourne Ultimatum.

BEST SOUND EDITING
Transformers	No Country For Old Men	Ratatouille	The Bourne Ultimatum	There Will Be Blood
3/5 [60%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Did I mention I am glad 300 got snubbed!?
who should win: There Will be Blood - hands down!!! who will win: Transformers - hands, unfortunately down!!?
and the Oscar goes to... The Bourne Ultimatum.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Transformers	The Golden Compass	Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End
2/3 [67%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE No 300...'nuff said.
who should win: I am not a big fan of F/X but I suppose Transformers did the best job in that regard. who will win: Transformers.
and the Oscar goes to... The Golden Compass.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement	The Kite Runner	Ratatouille	Michael Clayton	3:10 to Yuma
2/5 [40%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE No Jonny Greenwood!!!???
who should win: Since Jonny Greenwood was snubbed by the music branch for his haunting score for There Will Be Blood, I suppose the best choice here is Atonement. who will win: Atonement should come away with this one.
and the Oscar goes to... Atonement.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"Falling Slowly" from Once	"So Close" from Enchanted	"That's How You Know" from Enchanted	"Happy Working Song" from Enchanted	"Raise It Up" from August Rush
2/5 [40%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Whatt!!??
who should win: Once. who will win: Once.
and the Oscar goes to... Once.

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
Mongol (Kazakhstan)	Katyn (Poland)	The Counterfeiters (Austria)	Beaufort (Israel)	12 (Russia)
3/5 [60%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Since 4 Months was already snubbed I didn't really care much about this category (I'm spiteful) but it sure is nice to see Wajda up for an Oscar (if I knew the Polish film was his I probably would have voted for it).
who should win: I haven't seen a single nominee here. who will win: Most likely Austria's The Counterfeiters, but Israel could surprise.
and the Oscar goes to... The Counterfeiters.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis	Surf's Up	Ratatouille
2/3 [67%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Surf's Up!!?? What part of "Why the Fuck isn't The Simpson's Movie nominated!!??" do you not understand!?
who should win: Persepolis!! Persepolis!! Persepolis!! Persepolis!! Persepolis!! Persepolis!! Persepolis!! Persepolis!! who will win: I hate to say it, and I am hoping for an upset, but Ratatouille will most likely take the Oscar home.
and the Oscar goes to... Ratatouille.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Taxi to the Dark Side	Operation Homecoming: Writing the Wartime Experience	Sicko	No End in Sight	War Dance
2/5 [40%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE
who should win: No End in Sight was the superior work (of the three I saw). who will win: No End in Sight should beat out Michael Moore, but don't count out Taxi to the Dark Side.
and the Oscar goes to... Taxi to the Dark Side.

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
I Met the Walrus	Madame Tutli Putli	Even Pigeons Go To Heaven	My Love	Peter and the Wolf
THIS CATEGORY WAS NOT PREDICTED
who should win: My Love is a stunning piece of Impressionistic filmmaking and Peter and the Wolf is amazing to watch. I would vote a tie on this one. who will win: Although I Met the Walrus could pull in the nostalgia vote, I believe the Oscar is going to go to Peter and the Wolf.
and the Oscar goes to... Peter and the Wolf.

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
At Night	The Substitute	The Mozart of Pickpockets	Tanghi Argentini	The Tonto Woman
THIS CATEGORY WAS NOT PREDICTED
who should win: The Tonto Woman was very good and At Night (despite some more saccharin moments) was also very good, but my choice would be the Truffaut-inspired The Mozart of Pickpockets. who will win: Tough choice between the three I stated above. Will the Academy go melodramatic, fun-loving or artistic? I say fun-loving and pick The Mozart of Pickpockets to win.
and the Oscar goes to... The Mozart of Pickpockets.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Freeheld	La Corona / The Crown	Salim Baba	Sari’s Mother
3/4 [75%] NOMINATION PREDICTION RATE Not bad for knowing nothing about any of these films.
who should win: I haven't seen any of these so I cannot say what should win, but... who will win: Sari’s Mother seems to be the choice with the best chance, but who the Hell knows!?
and the Oscar goes to... Freeheld.

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