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2007 OSCAR NOMINATION PREDIX

PREDICTION RATE
Top 8 Categories: 34/40 (85%)
Overall Rate: 72 /104 (70%)

Perfect Scores:
Actor, Supporting Actor, Original Screenplay, Cinematography

TO BORROW A THING OR TWO FROM POLITICS:
BLUE STANDS FOR A CORRECT PREDICTION
AND RED STANDS FOR AN INCORRECT PREDICTION

SEE THE ACTUAL NOMINEES

2004 OSCAR PAGE           2005 OSCAR PAGE           2006 OSCAR PAGE

OTHER AWARDS PREDIX SITES:
EVERYTHING OSCAR / OSCAR IGLOO / OSCAR JAM / THE FILM EXPERIENCE / IN CONTENTION

BEST PICTURE
No Country For Old Men Into the Wild Michael Clayton There Will Be Blood The Diving Bell & the Butterfly
Other possibilities:
Most pundants are going with Juno over Diving Bell, but I like to be different. Atonement has a shot too I suppose but less likely.

BEST DIRECTOR
The Coen Bros.
for
No Country for Old Men		 Sean Penn
for
Into the Wild		 Tony Gilroy
for
Michael Clayton		 P.T. Anderson
for
There Will Be Blood		 Julian Schnabel
for
The Diving Bell & the Butterfly
Other possibilities:
If I am right with Juno not getting the nod, then it looks like a perfect 5 for 5 matchup here with BP, but even if Juno gets in, Reitman will not. Dark horses are Lumet (Before the Devil...) and Scott (American Gangster) and Burton (Sweeney Todd). Who knows, Todd Haynes (I'm Not There) could pull off a David Lynchian surprise nod come Tuesday morning.

BEST ACTRESS
Julie Christie
in
Away From Her		 Marion Cotillard
in
La Vie En Rose		 Ellen Page
in
Juno		 Angelina Jolie
in
A Mighty Heart		 Cate Blanchett
in
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Other possibilities:

BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis
in
There Will Be Blood		 George Clooney
in
Michael Clayton		 Viggo Mortensen
in
Eastern Promises		 Johnny Depp
in
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street		 Tommy Lee Jones
in
The Valley of Elah
Other possibilities:
Ryan Gosling for Lars and the Real Girl is still a strong possibility for that fifth spot as is Emile Hirsch for Into the Wild.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett
in
I'm Not There		 Amy Ryan
in
Gone Baby Gone		 Tilda Swinton
in
Michael Clayton		 Catherine Keener
in
Into The Wild		 Saoirse Ronan
in
Atonement
Other possibilities:
Ruby Dee, Marisa Tomei or the great Vanessa Redgrave could be surprise spoilers, and don't count out Kelly Macdonald either. Any of them could take the fifth spot.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem
in
No Country for Old Men		 Casey Affleck
in
The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford		 Tom Wilkinson
in
Michael Clayton		 Hal Holbrook
in
Into the Wild		 Philip Seymour Hoffman
in
Charlie Wilson's War
Other possibilities:
I would love to see Paul Dano pick up that fifth nod...and I am about this close to replacing Hoffman with him. Tommy Lee Jones has a shot too I think.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Michael Clayton Juno Ratatouille The Savages Lars and the Real Girl
Other possibilities:
Knocked Up could surprise.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
No Country for Old Men There Will Be Blood The Diving Bell & The Butterfly Into the Wild Atonement
Other possibilities:
Charlie Wilson's War or The Kite Runner are the strongest spoilers here.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
No Country for Old Men The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford There Will Be Blood Atonement The Diving Bell & The Butterfly
Other possibilities:
Into the Wild or 3:10 to Yuma or Sweeney Todd could sneak in as well.

BEST ART DIRECTION
Atonement There Will Be Blood Elizabeth: The Golden Age Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Other possibilities:
Harry Potter or The Golden Compass could push Pirates aside here.

BEST FILM EDITING
No Country for Old Men Michael Clayton Into the Wild The Bourne Ultimatum There Will Be Blood
Other possibilities:
American Gangster or Sweeney Todd or The Diving Bell could pop in here as well.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford Hairspray Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Other possibilities:
3:10 to Yuma, La Vie En Rose, Lust Caution and/or The Golden Compass could sneak in.

BEST MAKE-UP
La Vie en Rose Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street Norbit
Other possibilities:
Norbit may seem an odd choice at first, especially over something like The Diving Bell and the Butterfly or 300, but remember, Click was nominated last year, so suck=nomination.

BEST SOUND MIXING
Transformers 300 Into the Wild No Country For Old Men Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End
Other possibilities:
The Bourne Ultimatum or There Will Be Blood or Sweeney Todd could easily get in.

BEST SOUND EFFECTS EDITING
Transformers 300 Ratatouille The Bourne Ultimatum Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End
Other possibilities:
The Golden Compass or Beowulf are other possibilities.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS EDITING
Transformers 300 Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End
Other possibilities:
With The Transformers being the only lock I think, The Golden Compass or The Bourne Ultimatum could easily pop in there as well.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement There Will Be Blood Ratatouille Eastern Promises The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Other possibilities:
The Kite Runner, 3:10 to Yuma, Grace is Gone and Lust, Caution all have shots at that fifth spot (or even the fourth spot).

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"Guaranteed"
from
Into the Wild		 "Falling Slowly"
from
Once		 "That's How You Know"
from
Enchanted		 "Come So Far (Got So Far To Go)"
from
Hairspray		 "Walk Hard"
from
Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story
Other possibilities:
"Do You Feel Me" from American Gangster is probably the smarter pick for the fifth spot, but hey South Park got nommed here back in 1999.

BEST FORIEGN-LANGUAGE FILM
The Year My Parents Went on Vacation
(Brazil)		 Days of Darkness
(Canada)		 The Counterfeiters
(Austria)		 Beaufort
(Israel)		 12
(Russia)
Other possibilities:
In case you were looking for either Persepolis or 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days, two films that seemed the surest of things when it came to this category, they are not here because the Academy did not put them on the 9 film short list last week. So with that said, they are gone.

The other four possible nominees are: Beaufort (Israel), Mongol (Kazakhstan), Katyn (Poland) and The Trap (Serbia).

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis The Simpsons Movie Ratatouille
Other possibilities:
Beowulf or Bee Movie could sneak in if the Academy isn't progressive enough to vote for Persepolis.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Autism: The Musical The Rape of Europa Sicko No End in Sight The Price of Sugar
Other possibilities:
Body of War * White Light/Black Rain * Taxi to the Dark Side
For the Bible Tells Me So * White Light/Black Rain * Lake of Fire * Nanking

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The 8 official eligible films are: Body & Soul: Diana & Kathy, Freeheld, If It Happens, La Corona (The Crown), Ochberg’s Orphans, Portraits of a Lady, Salim Baba & Sari’s Mother

Not that I know anything about this, but here are my predix: La Corona, Sari's Mother & Salim Baba. If there are 4 nominations, Portraits of a Lady, and if there are 5 nods, Ochberg's Orphans. There you go.

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
?????

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
?????

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