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***!!FINAL!!*** 2005 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

PICTURE * DIRECTOR * ACTOR * ACTRESS * SUP ACTOR * SUP ACTRESS * SCREENPLAYS TECHNICAL 1 * TECHNICAL 2 * FOREIGN-LANGUAGE * ALL OTHER CATEGORIES MAIN OSCAR PAGE CORRECT PREDICTIONS IN BLUE / INCORRECT PREDICTIONS IN RED

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY NOM PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: The first three are ASC nominees, and since they usually match up 3/5 with Oscar, I've chosen the other two as replacements for King Kong and Batman Begins (although Batman is bound to get something somewhere, it's beeen picked by nearly every guild) and perhaps it is just wishful thinking putting the very un-precursed The New World in, but there it is. The one wild card in the bunch is Chris Doyle for his great work in 2046. Doyle is going to get nominated eventually - AMPAS cannot ignore him forever - so it is still a possibility, however unlikely.
1. (2)(2)(1) BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	2. (1)(1)(4) GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK	3. (3)(3)(2) MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	4. (4)(7)(7) THE CONSTANT GARDENER	5. (5)(4)(3) THE NEW WORLD
Other possibilities: 6.(7)(5)(18) 2046 7.(8)(9)(5) MUNICH 8.(-)(-)(26) BATMAN BEGINS 9.(12)(12)(9) CRASH 10.(10)(8)(16) KING KONG 11.(13)(13)(10) CINDERELLA MAN 12.(6)(11)(17) CAPOTE 13.(9)(6)(6) JARHEAD 14.(11)(17)(12) A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE Nothing more than vote siphoners and/or better luck next time: ---(10)(8) THE WHITE COUNTESS ---(14)(11) WALK THE LINE ---(15)(13) THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA ---(16)(14) CHARLIE & THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY ---(18)(20) MATCH POINT ---(19)(22) THE THREE BURIALS... ---(20)(15) MARCH OF THE PENGUINS ---(21)(19) SIN CITY ---(21) LAST DAYS ---(23) NORTH COUNTRY ---(24) MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS ---(25) WAR OF THE WORLDS ---(27) STAR WARS EPISODE III ---(28) RENT ---(29) KINGDOM OF HEAVEN
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	CONSTANT GARDENER	THE NEW WORLD	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 18
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	2046	THE NEW WORLD	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
PRE-NBR PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 6
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	MUNICH	THE NEW WORLD	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN

BEST ART DIRECTION NOMINATION PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: The ADG names ten nominees each year (5 for period/fantasy & 5 for contemporary) and invariably Oscar picks four like candiadates and one non ADG nominated film, so I am going that route and naming BP frontrunner Brokeback Mountain as the odd men out (was that a pun?).
1. (1)(1)(1) MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	2. (2)(2)(2) KING KONG	3. (3)(3)(6) GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	4. (5)(4)(7) BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	5. (-)(-)(28) BATMAN BEGINS
Other strong possibilities: 6.(9)(13)(13) WALK THE LINE 7.(6)(11)(9) CHARLIE & THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY 8.(16)(10)(15) THE CONSTANT GARDENER 9.(13)(14)(14) SYRIANA 10.(18)(16) JARHEAD 11.(-)(-)(-) CRASH 12.(4)(5)(5) PRIDE & PREJUDICE 13.(15)(12)(17) 2046 14.(8)(9)(10) CINDERELLA MAN 15.(11)(6)(3) THE NEW WORLD 16.(12)(-)(22) CAPOTE 17.(7)(8)(8) THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA 18.(10)(16)(19) KINGDOM OF HEAVEN 19.(14)(7)(4) MUNICH Nothing more than vote siphoners and/or better luck next time: ---(17)(20)(20) THE WHITE COUNTESS ---(15)(11) MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS ---(17)(12) THE PRODUCERS ---(19)(18) SIN CITY ---(21) THE THREE BURIALS... ---(23) NORTH COUNTRY ---(24) BREAKFAST ON PLUTO ---(25) BROTHERS GRIMM ---(26) RENT ---(27) WAR OF THE WORLDS ---(28) BATMAN BEGINS ---(29) STAR WARS EPISODE III ---(30) OLIVER TWIST
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	KING KONG	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	PRIDE & PREJUDICE
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 18
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	KING KONG	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	PRIDE & PREJUDICE
PRE-NBR PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 6
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	KING KONG	MUNICH	THE NEW WORLD	PRIDE & PREJUDICE

BEST FILM EDITING NOMINATION PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: This line-up usually goes at least 3 for 5 with BP, sometimes 4 for 5, so this year I am going 4 for 5, leaving out Capote. The first three are locks, with the next two thrown in as gut feelings, although Constant Gardener, King Kong, Pride & Prejudice, Cinderella Man or even Charlie & the Chocolate Factory would not surprise.
1. (1)(1)(5) GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK	2. (2)(2)(2) BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	3. (3)(4)(1) MUNICH	4. (4)(5)(3) CRASH	5. (5)(6)(4) WALK THE LINE
Other possibilities: 6.(6)(8)(8) THE CONSTANT GARDENER 7.(7)(3)(9) KING KONG 8.(9)(7)(7) CINDERELLA MAN 9.(-)(-)(27) CHARLIE & THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY 10.(8)(-)(-) CAPOTE 11.(13)(12)(-) SYRIANA 12.(10)(11)(6) MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA 13.(14)(13)(13) JARHEAD 14.(12)(19)(22) BATMAN BEGINS 15.(11)(9)(14) MATCH POINT 16.(15)(14)(20) WAR OF THE WORLDS 17.(-)(10)(10) A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE Nothing more than vote siphoners and/or better luck next time: ---(15)(18) THE THREE BURIALS... ---(16)(15) THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA ---(17)(16) THE NEW WORLD ---(18)(21) SIN CITY ---(20)(23) STAR WARS EPISODE III ---(11) RENT ---(12) THE PRODUCERS ---(17) MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS ---(19) THE WHITE COUNTESS ---(24) MR. & MRS. SMITH ---(25) BREAKFAST ON PLUTO ---(26) AEON FLUX
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
MUNICH	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	WALK THE LINE	CRASH
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 18
MUNICH	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	KING KONG	CRASH
PRE-NBR PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 6
MUNICH	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	WALK THE LINE	CRASH

BEST COSTUME DESIGN NOM PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: There is always the possibility of a film of less than steler critical response getting in here (prob more than any other category besides Best Song), so Charlie & the Choco Factory and/or Casanova could sneak in.
1. (1)(1)(1) MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	2. (2)(3)(3) PRIDE & PREJUDICE	3. (8)(9)(11) GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	4. (5)(7)(7) WALK THE LINE	5. (3)(2)(2) MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS
Other possibilities: 6.(4)(5)(5) CINDERELLA MAN 7.(13)(16)(14) CHARLIE & THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY 8.(6)(4)(6) CASANOVA 9.(7)(8)(10) KINGDOM OF HEAVEN 10.(15)(6)(4) THE NEW WORLD 11.(9)(10)(12) KING KONG 12.(-)(18)(19) CAPOTE 13.(11)(13)(13) THE WHITE COUNTESS 14.(14)(11)(8) THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA 15.(10)(12)(9) THE PRODUCERS 16.(12)(15)(20) 2046 17.(16)(19)(22) BREAKFAST ON PLUTO Nothing more than vote siphoners and/or better luck next time: ---(17)(16) HARRY POTTER AND THE GOBLET OF FIRE ---(14)(15) THE LIBERTINE ---(17) STAR WARS EPISODE III ---(18) BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN ---(21) MUNICH ---(23) BROTHERS GRIMM ---(24) OLIVER TWIST ---(25) BATMAN BEGINS ---(26) THE PRIZEWINNER OF DEFIANCE, OHIO ---(27) AEON FLUX ---(28) SIN CITY ---(29) NORTH COUNTRY
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS	PRIDE & PREJUDICE	WALK THE LINE	CINDERELLA MAN
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 18
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS	PRIDE & PREJUDICE	THE NEW WORLD	CINDERELLA MAN
PRE-NBR PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 6
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS	PRIDE & PREJUDICE	THE NEW WORLD	CINDERELLA MAN

BEST MAKE-UP NOMINATION PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: This category is known for throwing a few curveballs our way, and The Libertine may be that very curveball.
1. (1)(2)(2) THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA	2. (7)(-)(-) THE LIBERTINE	3. (3)(1)(1) CINDERELLA MAN
The other eligible contenders: 4.(7)(-)(-) A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE 5.(4)(6)(5) STAR WARS EPISODE III 6.(5)(7)(8) MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS 7.(2)(3)(3) THE NEW WORLD They did not make the final, and so are ruled ineligible: ---(1)(1) MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA ---(4)(4) SIN CITY ---(5)(6) KING KONG ---(8)(9) PRIDE & PREJUDICE ---(9)(10) TRANSAMERICA ---(10)(11) HARRY POTTER AND THE GOBLET OF FIRE ---(11)(12) BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN ---(13)(13) BATMAN BEGINS ---(14)(14) AEON FLUX ---(15)(15) BROTHERS GRIMM ---(16)(20) CHARLIE & THE CHOCOLATE FACTORY ---(17)(16) SYRIANA ---(18)(17) JARHEAD ---(19)(18) NORTH COUNTRY ---(20)(19) WALK THE LINE ---(21)(21) GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
CINDERELLA MAN	CHRONICLES OF NARNIA	THE NEW WORLD
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 18
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	CHRONICLES OF NARNIA	THE NEW WORLD
PRE-NBR PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 6
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	CHRONICLES OF NARNIA	THE NEW WORLD

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