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***!!FINAL!!*** 2005 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

PICTURE * DIRECTOR * ACTOR * ACTRESS * SUP ACTOR * SUP ACTRESS * SCREENPLAYS TECHNICAL 1 * TECHNICAL 2 * FOREIGN-LANGUAGE * ALL OTHER CATEGORIES MAIN NOMINATION PREDICTION PAGE YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS           LAST YEAR'S OSCAR PREDICTIONS MAIN OSCAR PAGE / ACTUAL NOMINATIONS OTHER AWARDS: GOLDEN GLOBES / NBR / LAFCA / NYFCC 5/5 [100%] PREDICTION RATE CORRECT PREDICTIONS IN BLUE / INCORRECT PREDICTIONS IN RED

BEST SUPP ACTRESS NOMINATION PREDICTIONS
POST-NOMINATION COMMENTS: One of the four categories I batted a thousand with, and although it's a shame Maria Bello isn't here, it is great to see Amy Adams - the only acting nominee (in any category) to be the sole nomination for her film. FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: This is the one category giving me the most difficult time. With only two sure things, there are another five ladies vying for those last three spots (possibly even more). Saying that Scarlett will be a snub (as most are) and Gong Li and Shirley MacLaine are too far gone in the buzz department, that still leaves six actresses and just five slots. Keener, I think should get in, but Bello is definately fallable here (with the whole category confusion of her getting a Lead Globe nomination). Many are saying McDormand, but I am leaving her out for the "surprise" nomination of Amy Adams. Of course if Bello is fallable (and I hope not, she gave one of my favourite performances of the year) then McDormand could still get in. So, in the end, I'll put McDormand in and (sadly) take Bello out.
1. (1)(2)(4)(4) Michelle Williams in BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	2. (2)(3)(6)(11) Rachel Weisz in THE CONSTANT GARDENER	3. (3)(4)(13)(12) Catherine Keener in CAPOTE	4. (5)(10)(11)(10) Amy Adams in JUNEBUG	5. (9)(9)(7)(7) Frances McDormand in NORTH COUNTRY
Other possibilities: 6.(4)(7)(5)(3) Maria Bello in A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE 7.(7)(1)(3)(1) Scarlett Johansson in A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE 8.(10)(5)(2)(6) Gong Li in MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA 9.(6)(6)(10)(13) Shirley Maclaine in IN HER SHOES Nothing more than vote siphoners and/or better luck next year: ---(8)(8)(1)(2) Diane Keaton in THE FAMILY STONE ---(11)(9)(8) Uma Thurman in THE PRODUCERS ---(12)(was lead)(19) Toni Collette in IN HER SHOES ---(14)(5) Thandie Newton in CRASH ---(15)(20) Michelle Yeoh in MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA ---(8)(-) Lynn Cohen in MUNICH ---(16)(19) Tilda Swinton in THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA ---(17)(14) Vanessa Redgrave in THE WHITE COUNTESS ---(18)(15) Lynn Redgrave in THE WHITE COUNTESS ---(16)(16) Brenda Blethyn in PRIDE & PREJUDICE ---(20)(17) Patricia Clarkson in GOOD NIGHT AND, GOOD LUCK (or THE DYING GAUL) ---(21)(18) Rosario Dawson in RENT ---(22)(22) Emily Mortimer in MATCH POINT ---(23)(23) Rachel McAdams in THE FAMILY STONE ---(24)(24) Laura Linney in THE SQUID AND THE WHALE ---(25)(21) Amanda Peet in SYRIANA ---(26)(25) Anne Hathaway in BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN ---(27)(26) Ginnifer Goodwin in WALK THE LINE ---(28)(27) Kelly Reilly in MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS ---(29)(28) Sandra Bullock in CRASH ---(30)(29) Susan Sarandon in ELIZABETHTOWN
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
Catherine Keener CAPOTE	Amy Adams JUNEBUG	Rachel Weisz THE CONSTANT GARDENER	Michelle Williams BROKEBACK MOUNATIN	Maria Bello A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 16
Catherine Keener CAPOTE	Gong Li MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	Rachel Weisz THE CONSTANT GARDENER	Michelle Williams BROKEBACK MOUNATIN	Scarlett Johannson MATCH POINT
PRE-NBR/NYFCC/LAFCA/GLOBES PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 6
Diane Keaton THE FAMILY STONE	Gong Li MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	Maria Bello A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE	Michelle Williams BROKEBACK MOUNATIN	Scarlett Johannson MATCH POINT
THANKSGIVING PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 24
Diane Keaton THE FAMILY STONE	Thandie Newton CRASH	Maria Bello A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE	Michelle Williams BROKEBACK MOUNATIN	Scarlett Johannson MATCH POINT
YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS / FEBRUARY 26
Sissy Spacek CLASS ACTION	Susan Sarandon ELIZABETHTOWN	Sigourney Weaver EVERY WORD IS TRUE	Kate Winslet ALL THE KINGS MEN	Scarlett Johannson A GOOD WOMAN

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