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2005 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

PICTURE * DIRECTOR * ACTOR * ACTRESS * SUP ACTOR * SUP ACTRESS * SCREENPLAYS TECHNICAL 1 * TECHNICAL 2 * ANIMATED * FOREIGN-LANGUAGE YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS           MAIN OSCAR PAGE

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY NOM PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: The big question is, will enough people realize about the Syriana snafu - my answer is yes, and it will get a nomination, although Cinderella Man or even the possible surprise of The 40 Year Old Virgin could sneak in in place of Syriana and/or Match Point.
1. (1)(2)(7) THE SQUID & THE WHALE	2. (4)(3)(2) GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK	3. (2)(4)(3) CRASH	4. (3)(1)(1) MATCH POINT	5. (3)(6)(6) SYRIANA
Other strong possibilities: 6.(5)(7)(13) CINDERELLA MAN 7.(6)(-)(-) THE 40 YEAR OLD VIRGIN A few more possible contenders, but it doesn't look too good: 7.(7)(11)(5) WALLACE & GROMIT: CURSE OF THE WERE-RABBIT 8.(8)(-)(21) JUNEBUG 9.(9)(5)(10) THREE BURIALS OF MELQUIADES ESTRADA 10.(10)(6)(10) MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS 11.(11)(10)(6) THE FAMILY STONE 12.(12)(12)(8) HUSTLE & FLOW 13.(13)(-)(12) BROKEN FLOWERS 14.(14)(-)(14) CACHE Nothing more than vote siphoners and/or better luck next year: ---(8)(18) TRANSAMERICA ---(9)(9) THE NEW WORLD ---(13)(11) THE WHITE COUNTESS ---(15) THE UPSIDE OF ANGER ---(16) BREAKFAST ON PLUTO ---(17) ME AND YOU AND EVERYONE WE KNOW ---(19) CHICKEN LITTLE ---(20) RUMOUR HAS IT ---(22) MELINDA NAD MELINDA ---(23) ELIZABETHTOWN ---(24) TIM BURTON'S CORPSE BRIDE ---(25) MILLIONS ---(26) HAPPY ENDINGS ---(27) MATADOR
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	MATCH POINT	CRASH	SQUID AND THE WHALE	CINDERELLA MAN
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 18
GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	MATCH POINT	CRASH	SQUID AND THE WHALE	THREE BURIALS...
THANKSGIVING PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 27
GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	MATCH POINT	CRASH	WALLACE & GROMIT	MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS
YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS / FEBRUARY 26
THE NEW WORLD	CINDERELLA MAN	CHE	EVERY WORD IS TRUE	WALK THE LINE

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY NOM PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: With Syriana going to Original, Munich makes the final cut - or so I seem to believe, although I think both HoV and CG are both tetering on the edge, possibly making room for WtL and P&P.
1. (1)(2)(1) BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	2. (2)(1)(2) CAPOTE	3. (6)(3)(4) MUNICH	4. (4)(4)(5) A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE	5. (5)(5)(9) THE CONSTANT GARDENER
Other possibilities: 6.(7)(8)(3) WALK THE LINE 7.(8)(7)(7) PRIDE & PREJUDICE A few other possible contenders but it doesn't look very good: 8.(9)(9)(7) MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA 9.(10)(10)(10) THE PRODUCERS 10.(11)(11)(13) KING KONG 11.(12)(12)(8) SHOPGIRL 12.(13)(13)(11) CHRONICLES OF NARNIA Nothing more than vote siphoners and/or better luck next year: ---(12) PROOF ---(14) IN HER SHOES ---(15) NORTH COUNTRY ---(16) BEE SEASON ---(17) HARRY POTTER AND THE GOBLET OF FIRE ---(18) JARHEAD ---(19) OLIVER TWIST ---(20) EVERYTHING IS ILLUMINATED ---(21) MYSTERIOUS SKIN ---(22) THE BEAT THAT SKIPPED MY HEART ---(23) WAR OF THE WORLDS
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
CONSTANT GARDENER	SYRIANA	CAPOTE	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 16
CONSTANT GARDENER	MUNICH	CAPOTE	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
THANKSGIVING PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 27
WALK THE LINE	MUNICH	CAPOTE	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS / FEBRUARY 26
CLASS ACTION	PROOF	MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	THE PRODUCERS

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