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2005 OSCAR PREDICTIONS

PICTURE * DIRECTOR * ACTOR * ACTRESS * SUP ACTOR * SUP ACTRESS * SCREENPLAYS TECHNICAL 1 * TECHNICAL 2 * FOREIGN-LANGUAGE * OTHER CATEGORIES MAIN NOMINATION PREDICTION PAGE YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS           LAST YEAR'S OSCAR PREDICTIONS MAIN OSCAR PAGE / ACTUAL NOMINATIONS OTHER AWARDS: GOLDEN GLOBES / NBR / LAFCA / NYFCC 4/5 [80%] PREDICTION RATE CORRECT PREDICTIONS IN BLUE / INCORRECT PREDICTIONS IN RED

BEST DIRECTOR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS
POST-NOMINATION COMMENTS: Who'da thunk it. The first 5/5 BP/BD line-up since 1981. Sad to see Cronenberg still go unheralded too, but perhaps he's just too damn good for the Academy to notice. FINAL PREDICTION COMMENTS: Lee and Clooney are probably the only two that it would be surprising if they were not here Tuesday Morning. The rest are a toss up between Haggis, Miller, Spielberg, Cronenberg and Meirelles. With my final line-up BP and BD only line up 3/5 this year. That may be a mistake and Bennett Miller may still get in, who knows. This was the one category that had me the most flustered, but I've finally settled on five. Wish me luck.
1. (2)(2)(1)(1)(4) Ang Lee for BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN	2. (1)(1)(3)(5)(5) George Clooney for GOOD NIGHT AND, GOOD LUCK	3. (3)(10)(15)(13)(25) Paul Haggis for CRASH	4. (4)(5)(2)(2)(1) Steven Spielberg for MUNICH	5. (5)(7)(5)(4)(2) David Cronenberg for A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
Other possibilities: 6.(9)(10)(7)(27) Bennett Miller for CAPOTE 7.(6)(13)(15)(17) Fernando Meirelles for THE CONSTANT GARDENER 8.(8)(5)(6)(9) James Mangold for WALK THE LINE 9.(3)(4)(3)(3) Woody Allen for MATCH POINT Dark Horse spoiler???: 10.(4)(11)(11)(16) Peter Jackson for KING KONG Nothing more than vote siphoners: ---(11)(8)(17)(24) Ron Howard for CINDERELLA MAN ---(12)(9)(10)(6) Terrence Malick for THE NEW WORLD ---(13)(14)(12)(13) Tommy Lee Jones for THE THREE BURIALS OF MELQUIDES ESTRADA ---(14)(7)(8)(5) Rob Marshall for MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA ---(12)(9)(19) Stephen Frears for MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS ---(16)(14)(14) James Ivory for THE WHITE COUNTESS ---(17)(16)(-) Neil Jordan for BREAKFAST ON PLUTO ---(18)(20)(2) Sam Mendes for JARHEAD ---(19)(22)(8) Roman Polanski for OLIVER TWIST ---(20)(23)(15) Niki Caro for NORTH COUNTRY ---(21)(21)(22) Susan Stroman for THE PRODUCERS ---(22)(27)(23) Thomas Bezucha for THE FAMILY STONE ---(23)(29)(26) Chris Columbus for RENT ---(24)(26)(21) Curtis Hanson for IN HER SHOES ---(25)(18)(-) Michael Haneke for CACHE ---(26)(19)(-) Wong Kar-wai for 2046 ---(27)(25)(20) Jim Jarmusch for BROKEN FLOWERS ---(28)(24)(18) John Madden for PROOF ---(29)(28)(12) Cameron Crowe for ELIZABETHTOWN You never know what strange - end of an era - things may happen: ---(30)(-)(-) George Lucas for STAR WARS EPISODE III Moved to a 2006 release date: ---(10) Steve Zaillian for ALL THE KING'S MEN
NEXT TO FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 15
Peter Jackson KING KONG	George Clooney GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	Woody Allen MATCH POINT	Steven Spielberg MUNICH	Ang Lee BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
PRE-XMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 18
Peter Jackson KING KONG	George Clooney GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	Woody Allen MATCH POINT	Steven Spielberg MUNICH	Ang Lee BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
PRE-NBR/LAFCA/NYFCC/GLOBES PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 6
David Cronenberg A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE	George Clooney GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	Woody Allen MATCH POINT	Steven Spielberg MUNICH	Ang Lee BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
THANKSGIVING PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 24
David Cronenberg A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE	George Clooney GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK.	Woody Allen MATCH POINT	Steven Spielberg MUNICH	Ang Lee BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
EARLY FALL PREDICTIONS / SEPTEMBER 18
Rob Marshall MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	Sam Mendes JARHEAD	Woody Allen MATCH POINT	Steven Spielberg MUNICH	Ang Lee BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS / FEBRUARY 26
Rob Marshall MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA	Terrence Malick THE NEW WORLD	Roman Polanski OLIVER TWIST	Ron Howard CINDERELLA MAN	Peter Jackson KING KONG

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