2004 GOLDEN GLOBE PREDICTIONS
PREDICTION RATE: 46/65 [71%]
BLUE=CORRECT PREDICTION / RED=WRONG PREDICTION
SEE ALL THE ACTUAL NOMINEES
| BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA | ||||
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| THE AVIATOR | COLLATERAL | FINDING NEVERLAND | HOTEL RWANDA | MILLION DOLLAR BABY |
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THE AVIATOR, NEVERLAND and MILLION DOLLAR BABY are locks I believe - Alternatives could very easily include CLOSER, KINSEY or VERA DRAKE (and possibly even THE NOTEBOOK, but doubtful) - and maybe I'm making a mistake including COLLATERAL, but I do love surprises !!
after the nominations were announced: [4/5 prediction rate] I knew choosing COLLATERAL was a risky move (I took CLOSER out to make room, duh), but it looked like it was reserging in the Oscar Race - but I guess not so much anymore - but overall I got four right (missing CLOSER and KINSEY in what is a six-way race) |
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| BEST MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY/MUSICAL | ||||
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| ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND | THE INCREDIBLES | PHANTOM OF THE OPERA | RAY | SIDEWAYS |
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SPANGLISH or MEAN GIRLS could surprise - so could GARDEN STATE or BEYOND THE SEA
after the nominations were announced: [5/5 perfect prediction rate] I'm glad I took SPANGLISH out at the last minute (after seeing it) - No surprises (obviously) |
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| BEST ACTRESS - DRAMA | ||||
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| Laura Dern in WE DON'T LIVE HERE ANYMORE |
Catalina Sandino Moreno in MARIA FULL OF GRACE |
Julia Roberts in CLOSER |
Imelda Staunton in VERA DRAKE |
Hilary Swank in MILLION DOLLAR BABY |
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I think this is where Catalina makes her Oscar move (a thing I would love to see) - alternatives could include Uma Thurman, Julie Delpy or Nicole Kidman (or maybe even Natalie Portman, who the HFPA could call lead for CLOSER - they did it with the CHICAGO girls a couple years back) - but then, the Globes sometimes pull a SIX-person race in one category...
after the nominations were announced: [2/5 prediction rate] Not so good on this one - Mainly upset that Catalina wasn't nominated (I was hoping her Oscar chances would've been boosted here) - Otherwise, no surprises really - glad to see Nicole (who's BIRTH performance was highly underrated by critics) and Uma in there (even if it meant losing Laura Dern in one of my favourite roles of the year) - Kind of surprised by Scarlett Johansson, but she is liked by the HFPA... |
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| BEST ACTOR - DRAMA | ||||
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| Don Cheadle in HOTEL RWANDA |
Tom Cruise in COLLATERAL |
Johnny Depp in FINDING NEVERLAND |
Leonardo DiCaprio in THE AVIATOR |
Liam Neeson in KINSEY |
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A lot of people are saying Eastwood will get a nomination (and I've said before this could be a six-way race), but I've left him off for Cruise (the HFPA loooves big Hollywood stars) - alternatives could include Jeff Bridges, Javier Bardem, Gael Garcia Bernal, Jude Law, Kevin Bacon or Jim Caviezel...
after the nominations were announced: [4/5 prediction rate] I took Bardem out and replaced him with Cruise, which in hindsight was, of course, kind of stoopid, but at least Don Cheadle made it in (after many years of wonderfully toiling in small unseen roles)... |
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| BEST ACTRESS - COMEDY/MUSICAL | ||||
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| Annette Bening in BEING JULIA |
Lindsay Lohan in MEAN GIRLS |
Natalie Portman in GARDEN STATE |
Emmy Rossum in PHANTOM OF THE OPERA |
Kate Winslet in ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND |
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I can't see this line-up w/o Winslet, Bening, and Rossum, but I had to toss in Natalie (one of two double nominees I have predicted this year, along with Winslet) and Tea Leoni (who I last-minute cancelled) could still be a factor - alternative could include Renee Zellweger, Cate Blanchett, Paz Vega or Jennifer Garner...
after the nominations were announced: [3/5 prediction rate] The HFPA loooooves ms. Zellweger (still can't fathom why!), so her nod wasn't much of a surprise, but Ashley Judd's was (although she was better in DE-LOVELY than ever before)... |
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| BEST ACTOR - COMEDY/MUSICAL | ||||
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| Jim Carrey in ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND |
Jamie Foxx in RAY |
Paul Giamatti in SIDEWAYS |
Adam Sandler in SPANGLISH |
Kevin Spacey in BEYOND THE SEA |
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Bill Murray is the one I didn't like leaving out, so he could be there in place of Sandler - the other four should be pretty much mortal locks - other alternatives could be Gerald Butler (if PHANTOM hits big), Jude Law in Alfie, Tom Hanks or Kevin Kline...
after the nominations were announced: [4/5 prediction rate] Kevin Kline instead of Adam Sandler was no surprise (should've known better I suppose)... |
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| BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ||||
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| Cloris Leachman in SPANGLISH |
Laura Linney in KINSEY |
Natalie Portman in CLOSER |
Virginia Madsen in SIDEWAYS |
Kate Winslet in FINDING NEVERLAND |
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I can't believe I left out Cate Blanchett (have I mentioned a six-way race yet?) - alternatives also could include Minnie Driver or Meryl Streep...
after the nominations were announced: [3/5 prediction rate] I knew leaving Cate Blanchett out was a mistake, and even Meryl Streep wasn't a real surprise... |
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| BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR | ||||
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| David Carradine in KILL BILL, VOLUME 2 |
Thomas Haden Church in SIDEWAYS |
Morgan Freeman in MILLION DOLLAR BABY |
Freddie Highmore in FINDING NEVERLAND |
Clive Owen in CLOSER |
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Carradine is a personal favourite I just couldn't leave out, but Sarsgaard, De La Serna, Alda or Dustin Hoffman could sneak in somewhere...
after the nominations were announced: [4/5 prediction rate] Really glad to see Carradine nominated (his performance in Kill Bill should be required watching for all acting students) and really glad to see Freddie Highmore left out (not a bad performance, but a little on the cutsey side for me - although I did predict him) - and for all my ranting about how COLLATERAL was going to make its Oscar move, I miss the one nomination it got, Jamie Foxx... |
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| BEST DIRECTOR | ||||
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| Clint Eastwood for MILLION DOLLAR BABY |
Michael Mann for COLLATERAL |
Mike Nichols for CLOSER |
Alexander Payne for SIDEWAYS |
Martin Scorsese for THE AVIATOR |
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Do we really like Michael Mann this much (I once called him someone capable of being a great Auteur, if only he would get the hell out of Hollywood), but let's not forget about those statues of controversy, Michael Moore and/or Mel Gibson (both helmsmen on films inelgible for Best Picture) - other alts could include Hackford, Forster, Schumacher, Condon, Gondry, Salles, Marston or Brad Bird...
after the nominations were announced: [4/5 prediction rate] Really surprised to see Marc Forster in here (Does anybody else see how pedestrian of a film FINDING NEVERLAND really is !?)... |
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| BEST SCREENPLAY | ||||
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| THE AVIATOR | CLOSER | ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND | KINSEY | SIDEWAYS |
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alts might include: SPANGLISH, THE DOOR IN THE FLOOR, GARDEN STATE, HOTEL RWANDA, MILLION DOLLAR BABY, COLLATERAL, NEVERLAND, PHANTOM, THE INCREDIBLES, HUCKABEES OR KILL BILL...
after the nominations were announced: [4/5 prediction rate] FINDING NEVERLAND ?????? |
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| BEST ORIGINAL SCORE | ||||
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| THE AVIATOR | FINDING NEVERLAND | HARRY POTTER & THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN | THE INCREDIBLES | THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST |
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alts: BIRTH, ETERNAL SUNSHINE, SIDEWAYS, MILLION DOLLAR BABY, MOTORCYCLE DIARIES or A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT...
after the nominations were announced: [2/5 prediction rate] Whoops... but am still glad SIDEWAYS garnered another nomination (SEVEN!!!) - not surprised with MILLION DOLLAR BABY making it, but SPANGLISH!!?? |
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| BEST ORIGINAL SONG | ||||
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| ALFIE | HOTEL RWNDA | HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS | PHANTOM OF THE OPERA | THE POLAR EXPRESS |
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alts: HUCKABEES, PRINCESS DIARIES 2, HARRY POTTER, SHREK 2 or just about anything...
after the nominations were announced: [4/5 prediction rate] No HOUSE OF DAGGERS / yes SHREK 2 - aaaaaaaaaaaaaahh!!! |
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| BEST FOREIGN FILM | ||||
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| HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS | MARIA FULL OF GRACE | THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES | THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST | THE SEA INSIDE |
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alts: uh, anything...maybe LES CHORISTES, BAD EDUCATION, THE HOUSE KEYS, FIVE OBSTRUCTIONS, A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT...yada yada yada
after the nominations were announced: [3/5 prediction rate] You never know with this category... |
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