THE PREDICTED FIVE
1. (2)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(2) THE AVIATOR	2. (3)(2)(2)(3)(18)(20)(15)(18)(-)(-)(-)(-) MILLION DOLLAR BABY	3. (1)(3)(3)(5)(5)(5)(9)(10)(17)(-)(-)(-) SIDEWAYS	4. (4)(5)(5)(2)(7)(4)(5)(4)(6)(15)(15)(10) FINDING NEVERLAND	5. (6)(6)(6)(9)(16)(16)(18)(20)(-)(-)(-)(-) HOTEL RWANDA
MY REVIEW	MY REVIEW	MY REVIEW	MY REVIEW	MY REVIEW
MY POST-NOMINATION COMMENTS
Still the frontrunner, but maybe not for long, because of...	...Eastwood's film is gaining ground on The Aviator, but if those two films battle too hard then...	...maybe Sideways could sneak in and win the Oscar, which is definately more likely than...	...this weak film getting a victory, in any category (this year's Chocolat/Full Monty nod), becasue it probably will come in fifth place behind even...	...Ray, which took the fifth spot over my (stupid?) choice of Hotel Rwanda
noms: HFPA, SAG wins: HFPA, PHOENIX, VEGAS	noms: HFPA SAG wins: SEATTLE, DALLAS, KCFCA, NSOFC	noms: IFP, HFPA SAG wins: HFPA, LAFCA, NYFCC, NYFCO, SFFCC, BSFC, TORONTO, FLA, CHICAGO, SEFCA, BFCA, VAN	noms: HFPA SAG wins: NBR	noms: HFPA SAG wins:
Other possibilities: RAY (5)(4)(4)(4)(3)(3)(8)(2)(2)(13)(14)(-) ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND (7)(10)(10)(11)(10)(10)(10)(11)(7)(9)(11)(7) Other faint distant possibilities: CLOSER (8)(7)(7)(7)(4)(2)(2)(3)(3)(3)(2)(3) KINSEY (9)(9)(9)(8)(6)(6)(4)(5)(9)(14)(13)(-) ...and what about HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS ???... Films that had been contenders, but have fallen out of the race: PHANTOM OF THE OPERA (box office/critical backlash) (8)(8)(6)(2)(9)(8)(6)(12)(10)(12)(14) SPANGLISH (golden globe backlash) (10)(8)(11)(14)(15)(14)(7)(6)(9) THE SEA INSIDE (foreign backlash) (14)(13)(13)(13)(14)(23)(-)(-)(-) THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES (foreign backlash) (13)(9)(14)(16)(16)(15)(16)(17)(22) A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT (foreign backlash) (12)(11)(12)(12)(13)(8)(6)(8)(18) THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST (religious backlash) (15)(17)(15)(11)(12)(4)(2)(3)(4) ALEXANDER (critical backlash) (14)(8)(3)(6)(5)(5)(4)(1) FAHRENHEIT 9/11 (political backlash) (19)(17)(17)(9)(11)(4)(9)(11) VERA DRAKE (box office backlash) (15)(7)(7)(7)(10)(-)(-)(-) THE LIFE AQUATIC (wes anderson backlash) (20)(18)(19)(17)(13)(8)(5)(6) THE INCREDIBLES (animated backlash) (21)(19)(20)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-) (okay, this was never really a contender) and what about the newfound chances of COLLATERAL ??? -- beginning to look like it's not gonna happen Films that SHOULD have Oscar potential, but don't due to a mainstream Hollywood mentality: BIRTH DOGVILLE BAD EDUCATION WE DON'T LIVE HERE ANYMORE VERA DRAKE KILL BILL, VOLUME 2 MARIA FULL OF GRACE BEFORE SUNSET
MY POST BFCA PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 10
SIDEWAYS	FINDING NEVERLAND	THE AVIATOR	MILLION DOLLAR BABY	RAY
MY CHRISTMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 25
SIDEWAYS	FINDING NEVERLAND	THE AVIATOR	MILLION DOLLAR BABY	RAY
MY PEARL HARBOR REMEMBERANCE DAY PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 7
SIDEWAYS	FINDING NEVERLAND	THE AVIATOR	MILLION DOLLAR BABY	RAY
MY THANXGIVING PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 25
SIDEWAYS	PHANTOM OF THE OPERA	THE AVIATOR	CLOSER	RAY
MY ARMISTICE DAY PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 11
SIDEWAYS	FINDING NEVERLAND	THE AVIATOR	CLOSER	RAY
MY POST-ELECTION SHOCK PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 7
KINSEY	FINDING NEVERLAND	THE AVIATOR	CLOSER	ALEXANDER
HALLOWEEN PREDICTIONS / OCTOBER 31
KINSEY	FINDING NEVERLAND	THE AVIATOR	CLOSER	RAY
OCTOBER 13 PREDICTIONS
ALEXANDER	THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST	THE AVIATOR	CLOSER	RAY
AUGUST 9 PREDICTIONS
ALEXANDER	THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST	THE AVIATOR	CLOSER	FAHRENHEIT 9/11
AUGUST 4 PREDICTIONS
ALEXANDER	THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST	THE AVIATOR	CLOSER	THE LIFE AQUATIC
HALFWAY MARK PREDICTIONS / JULY 25
ALEXANDER	THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST	THE AVIATOR	CLOSER	VANITY FAIR
YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS / FEBRUARY 28
ALEXANDER	THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST	THE AVIATOR	THE TERMINAL	VANITY FAIR

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