2004 BEST DIRECTOR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 24, 2005 / 3 for 5 [60%]
CORRECT PREDICTION=BLUE / RED=INCORRECT PREDICTION
| MY PREDICTED FIVE | ||||
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| 1. (1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1) Martin Scorsese for THE AVIATOR |
2. (2)(4)(14)(21)(-)(-)(-) Clint Eastwood for MILLION DOLLAR BABY |
3. (3)(2)(5)(8)(18)(-)(-)(-) Alexander Payne for SIDEWAYS |
4. (11)(12)(19)(17)(14)(15)(16)(18) Michel Gondry for ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND |
5. (5)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-) Zhang Yimou for HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS |
| MY REVIEW | MY REVIEW | MY REVIEW | MY REVIEW | MY REVIEW |
|
noms:
HFPA
wins: NYFCO, PHOENIX, BFCA |
noms:
HFPA
wins: NYFCC, SDFCA, CHICAGO, VAN |
noms:
HFPA,
IFP
wins: LAFCA, SEFCA, FLA, SAN FRAN |
noms:
wins: WAFCA, TORONTO, OFCS |
noms:
wins: BOSTON, NSOFC |
|
Other possibilities: Marc Forster for FINDING NEVERLAND(6)(7)(12)(12)(7)(20)(19)(15) Taylor Hackford for RAY(8)(8)(6)(7)(6)(18)(16)(-) Mike Nichols for CLOSER(4)(3)(2)(2)(2)(2)(2)(3) Michael Mann for COLLATERAL(10)(13)(-)(-)(-)(17)(9)(11) Bill Condon for KINSEY(7)(5)(3)(4)(3)(17)(15)(-) Mike Leigh for VERA DRAKE(9)(9)(7)(3)(15)(21)(6)(-) Terry George for HOTEL RWANDA(13)(14)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-) Dark Horses, but still not out of the question: Walter Salles for THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES(12)(11)(9)(9)(11)(12)(12)(10) Joshua Marston for MARIA FULL OF GRACE(14)(20)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-) Pedro Almadovar for BAD EDUCATION(15)(15)(18)(17)(8)(6)(5)(5) Alejandro Amenabar for THE SEA INSIDE(16)(19)(15)(15)(19)(-)(-)(-) A pair of Directors who may have a loyal enough following to begat a surprise nomination: Michael Moore for FAHRENHEIT 9/11 (18)(18)(16)(5)(4)(4)(5)(9) Mel Gibson for THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST (17)(17)(18)(17)(12)(3)(3)(8) Directors that were contenders at one time, but alas, no longer: Joel Schumacher for PHANTOM OF THE OPERA (6)(3)(11)(16)(10)(11)(12) Oliver Stone for ALEXANDER (17)(6)(5)(6)(7)(2) Wes Anderson for THE LIFE AQUATIC (19)(18)(14)(8)(4)(4) Jean Pierre Jeunet for A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT (16)(13)(13)(8)(5)(9)(18) James L. Brooks for SPANGLISH (10)(8)(10)(9)(7)(6)(6) |
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| MY CHRISTMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 25 | ||||
| Mike Nichols CLOSER |
Alexander Payne SIDEWAYS |
Clint Eastwood MILLION DOLLAR BABY |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Zhang Yimou HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS |
| MY PEARL HARBOR REMEMBRANCE DAY PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 7 | ||||
| Mike Nichols CLOSER |
Alexander Payne SIDEWAYS |
Clint Eastwood MILLION DOLLAR BABY |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Bill Condon KINSEY |
| MY THANXGIVING PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 25 | ||||
| Mike Nichols CLOSER |
Alexander Payne SIDEWAYS |
Joel Schumacher PHANTOM OF THE OPERA |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Bill Condon KINSEY |
| MY POST-ELECTION SHOCK PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 7 | ||||
| Mike Nichols CLOSER |
Oliver Stone ALEXANDER |
Mike Leigh VERA DRAKE |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Bill Condon KINSEY |
| OCTOBER 13 PREDICTIONS | ||||
| Mike Nichols CLOSER |
Oliver Stone ALEXANDER |
Michael Moore FAHRENHEIT 9/11 |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Bill Condon KINSEY |
| AUGUST 9 PREDICTIONS | ||||
| Mike Nichols CLOSER |
Jean Pierre Jeunet A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT |
Michael Moore FAHRENHEIT 9/11 |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Mel Gibson THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST |
| AUGUST 4 PREDICTIONS | ||||
| Mike Nichols CLOSER |
Wes Anderson THE LIFE AQUATIC |
Michael Moore FAHRENHEIT 9/11 |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Pedro Almadovar BAD EDUCATION |
| HALFWAY MARK PREDICTIONS / JULY 25 | ||||
| Mike Nichols CLOSER |
Wes Anderson THE LIFE AQUATIC |
Oliver Stone ALEXANDER |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Pedro Almadovar BAD EDUCATION |
| YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS / FEBRUARY 28 | ||||
| Robert Altman PAINT |
Steven Spielberg THE TERMINAL |
Oliver Stone ALEXANDER |
Martin Scorsese THE AVIATOR |
Mel Gibson THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST |