2004 BEST DIRECTOR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS

FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 24, 2005 / 3 for 5 [60%]

CORRECT PREDICTION=BLUE / RED=INCORRECT PREDICTION


MY PREDICTED FIVE
1.
(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)
Martin Scorsese
for
THE AVIATOR
2.
(2)(4)(14)(21)(-)(-)(-)
Clint Eastwood
for
MILLION DOLLAR BABY
3.
(3)(2)(5)(8)(18)(-)(-)(-)
Alexander Payne
for
SIDEWAYS
4.
(11)(12)(19)(17)(14)(15)(16)(18)
Michel Gondry
for
ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND
5.
(5)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)
Zhang Yimou
for
HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS
MY REVIEW MY REVIEW MY REVIEW MY REVIEW MY REVIEW
noms: HFPA
wins: NYFCO, PHOENIX, BFCA
noms: HFPA
wins: NYFCC, SDFCA, CHICAGO, VAN
noms: HFPA, IFP
wins: LAFCA, SEFCA, FLA, SAN FRAN
noms:
wins: WAFCA, TORONTO, OFCS
noms:
wins: BOSTON, NSOFC
Other possibilities:
Marc Forster for FINDING NEVERLAND(6)(7)(12)(12)(7)(20)(19)(15)
Taylor Hackford for RAY(8)(8)(6)(7)(6)(18)(16)(-)
Mike Nichols for CLOSER(4)(3)(2)(2)(2)(2)(2)(3)
Michael Mann for COLLATERAL(10)(13)(-)(-)(-)(17)(9)(11)
Bill Condon for KINSEY(7)(5)(3)(4)(3)(17)(15)(-)
Mike Leigh for VERA DRAKE(9)(9)(7)(3)(15)(21)(6)(-)
Terry George for HOTEL RWANDA(13)(14)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)

Dark Horses, but still not out of the question:
Walter Salles for THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES(12)(11)(9)(9)(11)(12)(12)(10)
Joshua Marston for MARIA FULL OF GRACE(14)(20)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)
Pedro Almadovar for BAD EDUCATION(15)(15)(18)(17)(8)(6)(5)(5)
Alejandro Amenabar for THE SEA INSIDE(16)(19)(15)(15)(19)(-)(-)(-)

A pair of Directors who may have a loyal enough following to begat a surprise nomination:
Michael Moore for FAHRENHEIT 9/11 (18)(18)(16)(5)(4)(4)(5)(9)
Mel Gibson for THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST (17)(17)(18)(17)(12)(3)(3)(8)


Directors that were contenders at one time, but alas, no longer:
Joel Schumacher for PHANTOM OF THE OPERA (6)(3)(11)(16)(10)(11)(12)
Oliver Stone for ALEXANDER (17)(6)(5)(6)(7)(2)
Wes Anderson for THE LIFE AQUATIC (19)(18)(14)(8)(4)(4)
Jean Pierre Jeunet for A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT (16)(13)(13)(8)(5)(9)(18)
James L. Brooks for SPANGLISH (10)(8)(10)(9)(7)(6)(6)
MY CHRISTMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 25
Mike Nichols
CLOSER
Alexander Payne
SIDEWAYS
Clint Eastwood
MILLION DOLLAR BABY
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Zhang Yimou
HOUSE OF FLYING DAGGERS
MY PEARL HARBOR REMEMBRANCE DAY PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 7
Mike Nichols
CLOSER
Alexander Payne
SIDEWAYS
Clint Eastwood
MILLION DOLLAR BABY
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Bill Condon
KINSEY
MY THANXGIVING PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 25
Mike Nichols
CLOSER
Alexander Payne
SIDEWAYS
Joel Schumacher
PHANTOM OF THE OPERA
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Bill Condon
KINSEY
MY POST-ELECTION SHOCK PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 7
Mike Nichols
CLOSER
Oliver Stone
ALEXANDER
Mike Leigh
VERA DRAKE
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Bill Condon
KINSEY
OCTOBER 13 PREDICTIONS
Mike Nichols
CLOSER
Oliver Stone
ALEXANDER
Michael Moore
FAHRENHEIT 9/11
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Bill Condon
KINSEY
AUGUST 9 PREDICTIONS
Mike Nichols
CLOSER
Jean Pierre Jeunet
A VERY LONG ENGAGEMENT
Michael Moore
FAHRENHEIT 9/11
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Mel Gibson
THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST
AUGUST 4 PREDICTIONS
Mike Nichols
CLOSER
Wes Anderson
THE LIFE AQUATIC
Michael Moore
FAHRENHEIT 9/11
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Pedro Almadovar
BAD EDUCATION
HALFWAY MARK PREDICTIONS / JULY 25
Mike Nichols
CLOSER
Wes Anderson
THE LIFE AQUATIC
Oliver Stone
ALEXANDER
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Pedro Almadovar
BAD EDUCATION
YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS / FEBRUARY 28
Robert Altman
PAINT
Steven Spielberg
THE TERMINAL
Oliver Stone
ALEXANDER
Martin Scorsese
THE AVIATOR
Mel Gibson
THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST

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