2004 BEST ACTOR NOMINATION PREDICTIONS
FINAL PREDICTIONS / JANUARY 24, 2005 / 4 out of 5 [80%]
BLUE = CORRECT PREDICTION / RED = WRONG PREDICTION
MY PREDICTED FIVE





1.
(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(1)(2)(3)(5)
Jamie Foxx
in
RAY2.
(2)(4)(6)(6)(9)(11)(3)(1)(1)(6)
Leonardo DiCaprio
in
THE AVIATOR3.
(7)(15)(10)(13)(13)(8)(-)(-)(-)(-)
Don Cheadle
in
HOTEL RWANDA4.
(3)(3)(3)(3)(3)(3)(6)(7)(8)(1)
Johnny Depp
in
FINDING NEVERLAND5.
(5)(6)(8)(10)(11)(16)(-)(-)(-)(-)
Paul Giamatti
in
SIDEWAYS
MY REVIEW
MY REVIEW
MY REVIEW
MY REVIEW
MY REVIEW
MY AFTER-NOMINATION COMMENTS
Although I don't think he deserves it (even though he was great in the film) - Foxx is probably the one closest-to-a-sure-thing we have in this race
DeCaprio could be the one to topple Foxx (or it could be Eastwood too) - but can he be taken seriously enough to do so?
Cheadle was supposedly a surprise on nomination morn (although I predicted him) and he probably gives the best performance of the five nominees
Depp won't win for this one, but it will happen someday
Clint Eastwood nominated instead
The biggest snub of the nominations - will poor Paul ever get the respect afforded him?
noms:
IFP (diff. film),
SAG,
HFPA
wins:
HFPA,
NBR,
NYFCO,
BOSTON,
WAFCA,
SEFCA,
FLA,
PHOENIX,
NSOFC,
BFCA,
VAN
noms:
SAG,
HFPA
wins:
HFPA
noms:
SAG,
HFPA
wins:
noms:
SAG,
HFPA
wins:
noms:
IFP,
SAG,
HFPA
wins:
SAN FRAN,
NYFCC,
CHICAGO,
TORONTO,
OFCS
Other possibilities:
Clint Eastwood in MILLION DOLLAR BABY(6)(8)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)(-)
Liam Neeson in KINSEY(4)(2)(4)(4)(4)(4)(2)(3)(4)(9)
Javier Bardem in THE SEA INSIDE(8)(7)(2)(2)(2)(7)(14)(15)(15)
Jeff Bridges in THE DOOR IN THE FLOOR(9)(5)(5)(5)(5)(5)(5)(6)(12)(14)
Dark Horses and vote siphoners:
Gael Garcia Bernal in THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES(10)(9)(11)(9)(8)(7)(11)(9)(9)(2)
Bill Murray in THE LIFE AQUATIC(11)(12)(13)(14)(14)(9)(8)(10)(10)(8)
Jim Carrey in ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND(12)(13)(2)(2)(2)(7)(14)(15)(15)
Kevin Bacon in THE WOODSMAN(13)(11)(16)(17)(16)(10)(16)(13)(14)(18)
James Caviezel in THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST(14)(10)(7)(6)(6)(4)(4)(5)(4)
Jude Law in CLOSER(15)(14)(15)(15)(15)(15)(13)(11)(11)(7)
Some Actors that have sunk below any realistic Oscar chances:
Gerald Butler in PHANTOM OF THE OPERA (9)(11)(12)(17)(17)(16)(18)(17)
Colin Farrell in ALEXANDER (14)(8)(7)(14)(12)(12)(7)(11)
Christian Bale in THE MACHINIST (17)(18)(17)(12)(10)(18)(-)(-)
MY CHRISTMAS PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 25
Leonardo DiCaprio
THE AVIATORPaul Giamatti
SIDEWAYSLiam Neeson
KINSEYJohnny Depp
FINDING NEVERLANDJamie Foxx
RAY
MY PEARL HARBOR REMEMBRANCE DAY PREDICTIONS / DECEMBER 7
Leonardo DiCaprio
THE AVIATORJeff Bridges
THE DOOR IN THE FLOORLiam Neeson
KINSEYJohnny Depp
FINDING NEVERLANDJamie Foxx
RAY
MY THANXGIVING PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 25
Javier Bardem
THE SEA INSIDEJeff Bridges
THE DOOR IN THE FLOORLiam Neeson
KINSEYJohnny Depp
FINDING NEVERLANDJamie Foxx
RAY
MY ARMISTICE DAY PREDICTIONS / NOVEMBER 11
Javier Bardem
THE SEA INSIDEJeff Bridges
THE DOOR IN THE FLOORLiam Neeson
KINSEYJohnny Depp
FINDING NEVERLANDJamie Foxx
RAY
HALLOWEEN PREDICTIONS / OCTOBER 31
Javier Bardem
THE SEA INSIDEJeff Bridges
THE DOOR IN THE FLOORLiam Neeson
KINSEYJohnny Depp
FINDING NEVERLANDJamie Foxx
RAY
OCTOBER 13 PREDICTIONS
Javier Bardem
THE SEA INSIDEJeff Bridges
THE DOOR IN THE FLOORLiam Neeson
KINSEYJohnny Depp
FINDING NEVERLANDJamie Foxx
RAY
AUGUST 23 PREDICTIONS
Jim Caviezel
THE PASSION OF THE CHRISTJeff Bridges
THE DOOR IN THE FLOORLiam Neeson
KINSEYLeonardo DiCaprio
THE AVIATORJamie Foxx
RAY
AUGUST 9 PREDICTIONS
Jim Caviezel
THE PASSION OF THE CHRISTJude Law
CLOSER / ALFIELiam Neeson
KINSEYLeonardo DiCaprio
THE AVIATORJamie Foxx
RAY
AUGUST 4 PREDICTIONS
Jim Caviezel
THE PASSION OF THE CHRISTTom Cruise
COLLATERALLiam Neeson
KINSEYLeonardo DiCaprio
THE AVIATORJamie Foxx
RAY
HALFWAY PREDICTIONS / JULY 25
Jim Caviezel
THE PASSION OF THE CHRISTTom Cruise
COLLATERALGael Garcia Bernal
THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIESJohnny Depp
FINDING NEVERLANDJamie Foxx
RAY
YEAR-IN-ADVANCE PREDICTIONS / FEBRUARY 28
Jim Caviezel
THE PASSION OF THE CHRISTBill Murray
THE LIFE AQUATICTom Hanks
THE TERMINALJohnny Depp
FINDING NEVERLANDJamie Foxx
RAY